JEFFREYS BAY, South Africa (Tuesday, July 13, 2010) – With event No. 5 of 10 on the 2010 ASP World Tour, the Billabong Pro Jeffreys Bay, rapidly approaching, the greatest assemblage of surfing talent in history is arriving in South Africa for a showdown in the iconic righthanders. Early projections are looking good for a solid opening few days and Kevin Wallis of Surfline was good enough to oblige us with an overview. This…is his story…
BRIEF OVERVIEW/MEDIA QUOTE: A solid south-southwest swell and favorable conditions will prevail for the first day of the contest waiting period, Thursday the 15th. Dropping, but still decent size, surf will take over for Friday, with a possible new bump of south-southwest swell for the weekend.
SWELL/SURF: Solid SSW swell with 6-8′+ faces and a good chance for larger waves, if the storm continues to behave as fore.
WIND: Moderate SW wind.
SWELL/SURF: SSW swell ping off, but still fairly solid leftovers in the morning in the 4-7′ range (on the face). Smaller in the afternoon.
WIND: Moderate W wind.
SWELL/SURF: Possible slight reinforcing bump of SSW swell building through the afternoon for 5-7′+ faces, and possibly larger, if storm behaves as fore in the next few days.
WIND: Light WNW wind.
SWELL/SURF: SSW swell possibly remains up early, before ping off through the afternoon for more 5-7′ faces in the morning, if storm behaves as fore in the next few days.
WIND: Light to moderate N/NW wind in the morning, becoming WNW for the afternoon.
SURF/WEATHER SUMMARY AND LONG RANGE OUTLOOK
Things continue to look promising for a good start to the event, thanks to a strong storm centered 1500 miles south-southwest of J Bay. This storm will be weakening over the next couple days as it slides to the east/south east, but it has already set up a strong swell for Thursday, which will off on Friday.
On Thursday were looking for solid 6-8′+ faces at J-Bay, with some larger waves at times in the double overhead range. Favorable wind conditions also look likely on Thursday with light to moderate SW flow behind a passing cold front. Dropping, but still fairly solid leftovers look likely on Friday morning, as favorable wind conditions also continue.
Going a little further out, fore charts indicate we’ll see a reinforcing bump of SSW swell move in over the afternoon on Saturday the 17th and continue Sunday morning the 18th, before ping off through the day, from a storm passing under South Africa later this week. Although not aimed ideally/directly at J Bay, if the storm behaves as fore we’ll see similar surf to what were expecting for Friday morning and possibly even better (models have come up on this swell in the past day). We’ll have more concrete details on that a little later this week.
Conditions look ok on Saturday, at this point, with WNW wind. Sunday morning early could see a brief period of devil north/northwest wind, but that may improve through the day with a shift to a more WNW direction.
Beyond that, and into the long range, things look pretty slow starting around the 20th-21st and continuing through the end of the contest waiting period. If that outlook changes we will let you know.
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